
Reference Volume-Weighted Average
The first deviation captures roughly 68% of expected action. The second covers 95% and third over 99%. Price reaching the third band is a rare, extreme event.
Filter Direction with VWAP Position
Sustained trading above the first upper band confirms strong bullish momentum. Price is consistently above average and staying extended.
Fade Extremes at Outer Bands
When price reaches the second or third deviation band, mean-reversion traders look for a snapback toward VWAP. Bands widen during volatile sessions automatically.
What does it mean when price reaches the third standard deviation band?
Statistically, price reaching the third deviation band occurs less than 1% of the time during normal sessions. This extreme extension suggests either exceptional momentum that may continue or an unsustainable move due for sharp mean reversion.
Do the bands automatically adjust for different volatility conditions?
Yes. The bands are calculated from actual price variance around VWAP, so they widen during volatile sessions and narrow during calm ones. This automatic adjustment makes them more reliable than fixed-distance envelopes that ignore current conditions.
Should I buy when price touches the lower band?
Not automatically. In strong downtrends, price can ride the lower band for extended periods. Look for additional confirmation like a reversal candle or a shift in momentum before entering. Band touches indicate statistical extremes but not guaranteed reversals.
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